Well, pretty much. Without going into the details, let me just link to the many folks who are calling the game on this. The NYT says "the high-definition DVD war is all but over" and Variety says this is "expected to hasten the demise of HD DVD." And for you real DVD geeks, Bill over at The Digital Bits – who has been the guru of DVD since the beginning of the format in 1997, when this Metropolitician got his first Sony DVD player – is relishing the accuracy of a prediction he made back in June last year, when this format war was still quite hot.
Some of you might be wondering what the hell I'm talking about. Well, the short of it is that there have been two high-definition DVD formats out for around two years now, both of which were essentially equal contenders to be the successors of the standard DVD format. Without getting into details, they can be described as basically similar versions of high-definition quality DVD's. So if you have an HDTV, you can watch a movie in full HD quality on either of the two formats – HD DVD or Blu-ray. The names of the formats were confusing – they are both high-definition (HD), even though "HD DVD" had HD in the name, causing some people to ask if Blu-ray was not HD. It is, but just doesn't have HD in the name. And that was just the beginning of the confusion and frustration.
Anyway, if you're just hearing about this now, don't even get into it, baby – the war's pretty much over. Well, it's not over over, but the decisive battle has been fought, like Saratoga during the Revolution and the French throwing in their support and tipping the balance decisively. OK – it's not that monumental an event, but it does mean that you, the consumer, may be benefitting quite soon.
Well, to those of you living in Korea, let me break it down: now, you can go buy a Blu-ray player, and you don't have to worry about the exorbitant cost of a dual HD DVD/Blu-ray model (yes, those $1000+ models do exist). But now, the smoke has to merely settle. And it's been leaning Blu-ray ever for a while now in Korea, anyway.
For those of you with HDTV's and projectors, here's some advice you can use:
- Now that it's no longer really a risk to go in one direction, the best way to get into Blu-ray at the moment is getting a Playstation 3, which I got for Christmas from the 'rents. My brother got a Wii. How my mom got her hands on one of them is a story unto itself. Those are still hard to get Stateside. The PS3 is a Blu-ray player as well as a game machine (the games are on Blu-ray discs), and they just released a stripped-down version of the machine at about $350 street price. That's like free, people, since the fully-tricked out version of the player was and is about $650 and even that's a loss from the estimated $800-900 actual value of the machine's parts. Sony's been waging a war of attrition since the beginning, losing money on each machine to get the installed base in. Ever since the price dropped recently, it seems a lot of folks (including me) ended up with one. Which meant a lot more Blu-ray DVD sales this holiday season. For those of you who aren't early adopters, the option to play a couple kick-ass games as a bonus for getting a Blu-ray player should be a nice extra. Only downside is that the game controller is your remote, but who cares once the movie's started, right? I have an HD projector that was never graced with an HD signal until the PS3, and let me tell you, the difference between standard and high-def DVD's is like that between hamburger and a $40 steak, sparkling wine and Cristal, baby. I got Destiny's Child's concert DVD and Casino Royale as starters. My mouth was open the entire time, and HD looks better the bigger it is; at 100 inches, the picture is stunning. Like a police taser, bro! Until you've seen Destiny's Child in HD, you haven't seen Destiny's Child.
- There are also some standalone machines coming out now in the $500 range in Korea (they were above $1000 until last year), and the prices may be dropping as we speak. Yet, as I saw with DVD in 2002, Korea adopts new, legal media formats slowly, as people are too busy buying bootlegs and downloading them from the Internet. Still, there are an awful lot of HDTV's in Korea that people don't really know how to use, set up, or display properly, but as status symbols and wedding presents, the installed base seems pretty high. I've never seen so many HDTV's as in Korean people's houses – yet, most people don't have an HD signal to put in it, unless you've got Skylife and several hundred thousand won to burn. In any case, I've noticed the big DVD stores stocking more Blu-ray titles as a rule, and you don't have regions to worry about anymore – Korea and North America are in the same region now. So the players are affordable, and the software's here. If you've got a new TV set hanging on your wall, you've got reasonable options now.
- If you aren't in possession of an HDTV set yet, and you're an expat, let me offer a suggestion: PROJECTOR. They're about the size of a VCR now, have the same resolution as any TV (long past are the days when you could see pixels and the picture was washed out compared to standard sets). And the price has come way down, along with the size, while the quality has gone through the roof. I remember back in 2002 fantasizing about quality projectors and hanging out in the showrooms of high-end places in Yongsan. Sticker price for the quality presently sitting in my living room? $10-15,000. Now, my 1080p (full HD) Sanyo PLV-Z5 cost $1650, it's up and out of the way on my wall, and projecting a 100-inch picture onto a screen that doubles as a window shade on my wall. Zero-space footprint, and perfect for if and when I leave the country. You wanna spend a few thousand on a 60-inch flat-screen? You still have to mount or find a stand for, which takes up space and costs extra money, actually. And when you leave Korea, it's too big to take with you and expensive to ship, without even getting into possible duty problems when it arrives. My projector will fit in a carry-on bag. And I could be projecting up to 120-inches, which is the width of the wall opposite the unit, but I actually think that would be too big, since I'm viewing at about 11 feet away. When it comes to picture, SIZE DOES MATTER. Even 60-70 inches looks puny after you've had 100-inches of high-def lovin'. Can't go back after that, baby.
In the end, expect prices to continue falling as DVD titles expand. And now that the prices are starting to flatten out, and the format war has settled, you can feel free to go out and get Blu-rayed. In sum, my picks:
VIDEO
- $350 PS3 for the player and the option to game as a bonus
- $1300+ projector (I'm a Sanyo man, but there are other good options)
- $100 business screen
AUDIO
- ~$500 receiver (Yamaha only, for reasons too extensive to get into)
- ~$500-700 on entry-level 5.1 speaker system (5 speakers and subwoofer)
Yeah, it's more expensive than a hand-me-down TV and an off-brand DVD player, but for the added value to your life (plus the fact that you can take most of this stuff with you when you leave Korea in two well-packed boxes and a carry-on bag), the value has never been better. And since this is the sort of stuff you buy every few years, it's not actually that much for the value it adds to your life.
Mii playing Wii.
For example, ddd a Wii to this setup and suddenly, a couple-hundred bucks on a little game console is like virtual reality. Save money on dating and socializing by having people come over. Host events in the house. Even have meetings (I do) with the ability to present and discuss material like in any conference room. And it makes watching HD signals on the big stations actually worth it (although projectors have bulbs and watching several hours a day of projector might have you changing that bulb within a year, instead of 2 or 3).
My Mii on Wii.
Say you drop $3000 over what would be a 3-year period. Throw in $300 for the change of bulb that might happen in that span of time. That's $83 a month, less than what many of you spend on $5 coffees, $8 movie tickets, and other random things that might get partially replaced by socializing at home with friends and significant others.
And we all know that once you've got someone, keeping things fresh is a drag in the coffee shop-dinner-movie-drinks-(love motel?) grind that defines dating in Korea. If you've got the projector, you've got the excuse to cook at home, have some wine, and kick back with the certain someone for hours.
Especially coming from America, where home-centered socializing is the way – BBQ's, birthday parties and dinner parties, movie nights with friends, and nights just spent chilling – having a concrete excuse to bring it all home in Korea is real nice. Were I not already a home theater nut, I'd seriously be thinking this might be a good investment.
My house ain't big, but now, people come to me, I can have meetings at home, and when I do want to goof off in front of a screen, I can do that in a social way. The money saved on waiting in coffee shops, transportation costs, and just the aggravation of running around is well worth it.
Just my 2 cents.
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